Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-10 00:00:00+00:00 0.006882 0.007734 0.008666 0.009761 0.011017 0.012416 0.014097
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 0.005426 0.006558 0.007901 0.009623 0.011786 0.014432 0.017942
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 0.004693 0.005948 0.007521 0.009657 0.012514 0.016245 0.021556
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 0.004090 0.005379 0.007066 0.009464 0.012836 0.017482 0.024496
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.003759 0.005108 0.006942 0.009658 0.013655 0.019438 0.028659
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.003430 0.004792 0.006706 0.009644 0.014143 0.020941 0.032323
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.003045 0.004354 0.006244 0.009233 0.013967 0.021391 0.034357
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.002813 0.004114 0.006042 0.009183 0.014325 0.022693 0.037944
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.002729 0.004084 0.006148 0.009615 0.015495 0.025442 0.044419
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.002483 0.003783 0.005803 0.009279 0.015337 0.025905 0.046807
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.002289 0.003545 0.005539 0.009048 0.015325 0.026609 0.049732
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.002163 0.003408 0.005424 0.009056 0.015731 0.028109 0.054432
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.002103 0.003380 0.005496 0.009411 0.016839 0.031122 0.062861
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.001961 0.003203 0.005300 0.009270 0.017003 0.032335 0.067705
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.001862 0.003090 0.005207 0.009304 0.017502 0.034279 0.074517
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.001739 0.002927 0.005009 0.009119 0.017538 0.035251 0.079220
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.001681 0.002874 0.005004 0.009305 0.018354 0.038005 0.088769
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.001600 0.002773 0.004904 0.009291 0.018745 0.039865 0.096422
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.001477 0.002587 0.004629 0.008897 0.018266 0.039663 0.098604
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.001407 0.002494 0.004526 0.008849 0.018547 0.041292 0.106105
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.001395 0.002513 0.004638 0.009263 0.019928 0.045782 0.122706
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.001302 0.002368 0.004418 0.008941 0.019553 0.045828 0.126186
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.001227 0.002252 0.004249 0.008719 0.019394 0.046410 0.131450